Friday, 8 December 2017

The new Axis of Evil - Based on - USA government official declaration of Jerusalem as a Capital of Israel.



Trump declaration of Jerusalem as a capital of Israel did not surprised me. Both Bush and Obama gave the same promise before.
What Trump doing is not new. It's just a new stage in the unconditional support to the state of Israel and practicing the double standards in extreme in dealing with the Middle East problems. What he did is putting Americans in danger by giving more reasons for radical Muslims to react.
Israel has a very strong influence in the US foreign policy. This influence which effects badly on the American average citizen. This is a fact nobody can deny.
When US invaded Iraq, it was mainly to destroy the biggest army in the region to make Israel feel safe and wake away with all the evil practices against the Palestinians.
The UN repeatedly declared a Palestine state and Jerusalem as a Palestinian city under Israel occupation. So the US acts against UN declarations is not a new thing, they did it many times before, they did it when they invaded Iraq and it costs the humanity more than a half million innocent life killed in the process during the invasion and after when the invasion urged the civil war and created a vacuum and instability in the region, an instability we still suffer from it until today.  Thousands of innocent people lose their life every month because of the US policy in the Middle East  and their allies among the corrupted leaders in the Middle East.  
This makes you wonder who the real list of Axe of Evil is and who should be put on the top list of the terrorists organizations around the world. It those who caused more death and suffer among innocent people in the last decades. Without exaggeration it’s the USA Government, which deserves to be NO 1 terrorists organization in the world. No other nation or other organization caused much death and suffering for innocent people as the USA government did in the whole world and in the Middle East. Of course not forgetting to USA government allies, which are not less evil and they should share with the USA government their rank in this list, such as the Egyptian Government (including the current government and Mubarak government), Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates and other dictators' regimes in the Middle East.
I was shocked when Trump in his speech named Israel as one of the most successful democratic system in the whole world. He went further and said, the Israeli government give the chance for Christian, Muslims and Jews to practice their believe freely. No comment. Don't want to give bad impression here, because what in my mind to describe this statement is not polite and not proper to mention here or elsewhere.
I hope my American friends understand, this article is about their government and not to associate any negative thoughts with the American Citizens. I think the American Citizens are effected by their government wrong practices as well, and they pay the price for that. The tax money they pay is used for evil practices and their reputation worldwide is ruined by their representatives practices. Unfortunately many people in the Middle East who are not familiar with the American corrupted election system, growing believing and blaming the average American Citizens who brought a person like Trump and other Americans leaders like him into power. Unfortunately, such evil practices give more excuses for a misguided Muslims to target innocent Americans in injustice terrorists' attacks. When that happens, please consider blaming your government policies for the death of innocent people everywhere.



I think the world is getting into world war three. I think the conflicts happening in the Middle East since the America army interference in the region when they invaded Iraq which urge the conflicts is the beginning of this war, especially with the other foreign powers involved today, such as Iran and Russia.
I grow believing in words will not solve any problems in the unjust world today and hope the last word in this war will be of the rebellious citizens of the Middle East, those who are still keeping their free spirit and not corrupted, brain washed or choose to support a corrupted regimes for a personal gains. I hope this coming war will bring justice at the end. I don't believe any more in meetings, discussions or even peaceful protest will come with a good result with the existing of all these corrupted, evil, crazy, bias and unfair rulers in the West and in the East, who are in power today.
Recently I watched an excellent movie made by Palestinians producers (Paradise Now), you can watch it in the following link with English subtitle. better quality available online for fees.
It explains some of the Palestinians suffering and it's impossible to refer for more than 100 years of suffering in just 1 hour movie.


Also I liked so much the statement of a neutral Irish activist against racism, Richard Boyd Barrett in the Face of the Israeli ambassador in the Joint Committee on Foreign Affairs and trade.



NOTE: Will highly appreciate if you helped in improving my English writing by pointing the mistakes in my article, and of course will appreciate your commenting on my view, whatever I liked or no. 

Sisi enslaved the Egyptians when he led the army in a coup - Now - He is selling the Egyptians lands and The Nile water.






In 2013 when General Sisi led his army in a military coup against a democratic system and freely elected president and putting the elected president Morsy in Jail, killing and arresting his oppositions in thousands in the eye and witness of the whole world in that time.
Now, he has a news approach brings more destructions cannot be undo by time for this country.
He handled tow Islands (Tiran and Sanafir) in the Red Sea to Saudi Arabia. Islands considered and Egyptian Property, long time before even the foundation of a country named Saudi Arabia exists. What he did is a great violation for the Egyptian constitution, the constitution he corrupted himself .  
Then and very recent he signs new agreements with the Ethiopian government putting an ends of the Egyptians historical rights in the Nile River, which Egypt's kept for more than a decade.
By signing the new agreement in Addis Ababa, he gives Ethiopia the legal right to finish and operate their dam on the Nile River which is going to cause catastrophic changes in Egypt.
Egypt's is the gifts of the Nile, its Herodotus famous word in the 5th century BC. The Nile River is running and narrating Egypt's desert for more than five millions years, but seems to be this is going to change in the near future. The Nile made up from two main tributaries; the White Nile in Lake Victoria and the Blue Nile in Lake Tana in Ethiopia which gives most the water come to Egypt. They join each other in the desert of Sudan in Khartoum before travelling north through Egypt and ends in the Mediterranean Sea.
The Dam being built in Ethiopia will effect so badly on Egypt for the following reasons:
1-    The time needed to save water to fill the lake behind the dam, will cause drought in Egypt for more than five years until the lake filled.
2-    When the lake is filled it will be even worse, because the risk factor in the construction of this dam is very high which increases the chance of collapse, in the short and long run. If that happen, the result will be catastrophic. Egypt's Nile valley will be washed to the Mediterranean sea, by 185 billion cubic meter of water of the storage of  Ethiopia Dam joining the water in Lake Nasser and overflowing the High Dam destroying the High Dam and everything on its way along the Nile Valley in a huge tsunami tell reach the Mediterranean Sea. Not forgetting, that more than 95% of the Egyptian population living on the Nile Valley.
3-    Gives Ethiopia the power to control the follow of the water to Sudan and Ethiopia.
The dam is built only 18 km away from the Sudanese borders in Sudan, downstream, so the water saved not going to help in saving Ethiopia from possible famines as they promote for.
The reasons mentioned above, makes you wonder why the Egyptian General doing that, when its very obvious it brings extreme and catastrophically results to Egypt and the Egyptians.
When you include the Israel interests in this situation, this make everything clear and make sense.
The following is the scenario I imagined understanding the complicated situation:
A – Israeli suffers a shortage of water now and the long term they will be hardly have enough water to support the existing settlements even if they decided not to build a new one, which is not going to happen.
B – The nearest source for water can supply Israel is the Nile River, through Sinai in Egypt, which difficult to get unless they had a strong influence in the Nile Basin countries in general and Ethiopia in particular.
C – The ruling tripe in Ethiopia now is the Falash Mura Jewish tripe which has a very strong connection with Israel government.
D – This explains why Israel helped Ethiopia greatly to build their Dam, so they can buy water from Ethiopia and transferred to them through a canal, starts from the Nile, go through Sinai and ends in Israel.
E – Even if Egypt's government became not friendly to Israel in future, the pressure Israel can practice on Egypt through their influence in Ethiopia will put a tremendous pressure on any government in Egypt to subdue to the humiliated situation.

That's explains why many Egyptians now believing in Sisi is traitor serving the Israeli interests and destroying Egypt in the process.
This theory also explains the reasons why he handled the Islands to Saudi Arabia, in order to make Aqaba gulf of the Red Sea and the terrain controlling the access to Aqaba gulf international water Egypt's government has no control on it which serves the Israeli interests and their future project to connect the Red Sea with the Mediterranean Sea with a canal or a rail way system as alternative to Egyptians Suez canal.
Other explanation, Sisi is paying the bill to Israeli for helping him getting his military coup recognized by the American government and other government in the Western World, for his personal glory, forgetting that the damage he made is catastrophic and will be nearly impossible to undo in the future.  
Some psychiatrist believing in him is already a megalomaniac.

NOTE: Will highly appreciate if you helped in improving my English writing by pointing the mistakes in my article, and of course will appreciate your commenting on my view, whatever I liked or no. 

Monday, 10 April 2017

Coptic Christians of Egypt trapped in political conflicts. Historical Reasons and Solutions.




  
Palm Sunday – April 9th Two terrorists attach in churches in the Delta(Tanta) and Alexandria, and the death of 44 mostly Christians and over a hundred injured.  
This is not the first one and I don't think it will be the last under the existing regime.
In this post, I will explain the reasons as I see behind these and similar attacks in history timeline
1-   The roots of this problem go back to Mubarak period, when he, his corrupted media and government spread fear from the Muslim brotherhood and other Islamic organization among the Church and Christian community (more than 10% of Egypt's population). his reason was to create a lobby to support him, his successor (Jamal – his son) and his government in any election against the strong opposition led by the Muslim Brotherhood. He launched a campaign to associate the Muslim Brotherhood with violence to destroy their reputation locally and internationally by creating fake tides between them and other well-known terrorists organizations such as El Qaeda.
2-   After 2011 revolution, and during the transition period ruled by the Army Council. Many incidents where churches and Monasteries being attacked believed to be the work of the secret policy and the army intelligent to create a Christian bias against the revolution and the Muslim Brotherhood as the most effective party in Egypt's revolution. The army council hope was, the fear of the Christians will shift their votes to the army council presidential candidate against the other candidates including the Muslim Brotherhood one.
3-   After president Morsi won the election as the 1st president in Egypt's modern history came to power in a real democratic process. Churches being attacked again and black media aligned with the army blaming the Islamic government to make sure the Christians are still in their support.   
4-   As a result of the previous strategies, when the military coup happens, the head of the Egyptian Coptic church (Patriarch) officially supported the coup against the elected president and some churches encouraged their communities and offered logistics and free rides in buses to the protest sites in support of the military coup.
Note: The head of El Azhar Islamic foundation also officially supported the military coup, but you need to know this foundation is confiscated by the Egyptian government from presented Nasser time in 1960th and this position is appointed by the government and choose the leader of the foundation to serve the government political interests, while the head of the Coptic church is elected by the Coptic Churches.
5-   Following the military coup, a massacres happened during the disparce of protests sites at Aug 14 – 2013 in Cairo and other cities in Egypt, mass killing and arrest for peaceful protesters, against the military coup. Leaving 670 death and 4400 injuries in only one protest site in Cairo, which described by Human Rights Watch organization as a crime against humanity. With a complete silence from the Judging System and the corrupted media.
6-   After dismantling the Muslim brotherhood party and killing or arresting all their leaders, leaving their young members without leadership, full of anger and hate from what they lost and experience. This situation made it easy for terrorists organizations such as ISIS to attract new members to believe in their radical views and use them to operate attacks against all the parities involved in the massacres and the support of the military coup, among them:
Army – Police – Judges – Media – Churches – Leader of the El Azhar Islamic foundation.
From July 2013 till Oct 2015 alone over 900 attacks

7-   The Egyptian church kept supporting the existing government and encourage gathering in support of Sisi during oversees meetings and visits especially in USA through the Coptic individuals and Churches live and active in the US.
8-   As a result, for all the above factors, oppositions in Egypt blamed the Coptic Christians and the church for their support for the existing government and the terrorists organization among the oppositions did not hesitated to launch attach against Coptic Churches.

Conclusions:
The Egyptian Coptic church through Egypt's modern history always referred to themselves as they want to keep the Coptic Church away from politics. Unfortunately, what they did since 2013 when they officially supported the military coup, was contradicting with their policies and put them in this wrong position and became a target for terrorist's organization.

Solutions:
In the short term. The Egyptian Coptic church should make an official statement acknowledging their mistake when they involved in Politics and supported the military coup, and promising the Coptic Christian community and the Egyptian population they will stay away from politics and be natural from now on. Myself I dought that might happen.

In the long term.
1-   New government outside the army, come as a people choice in free election understand the challenges Egypt's has and come with new idea out of the box and a new strategy encouraging the freedom of speech, equality, social justice as tools to put an end for Egypt's problem in the long term.
2-   Arab middle Easter countries cooperation, politically and military to put an end for the war going in the Middle East and putting and end for ISIS. Which I dought that might happen before having new government in the middle east replacing the existing corrupted government.
How the last thing might happen, its complicated and worth another blog post.

Finally, I do believe in the Christian in Egypt are victims not only of the terrorist's organizations but also a victim of a government and church leaders get them involved in politics.


Feel free to comment and edit to help me improving my views and my English language. 


Tuesday, 4 April 2017

What might happen in Egypt politically in the short and long run? A question difficult to answer for the following reasons






From 2011 to 2013, it was easy to predict what might happen in Egypt, since this period was known for the freedom of speech, that made it easy for me in Aug 2013 to predict what might happen in the country in the following years, I was in the street, protesting, supporting, media assist and debating with others with different view in real world and virtual world and that enabled me to predict and foresee what might happen in Egypt's future which is happening now. Check my Aug 2013 post at the following link: http://www.realegypt.info/2013/08/analyzing-big-distorted-and-confusing_18.html
Since the military coup in 2013 and until now, I hardly participated at any protest (hardly any big protest happens) and became very conservative in posting and debating in social media, otherwise I will end behind bars with no trail. Even by writing this post and putting it online, I'm putting my live-in danger, but I feel if I kept my mouse shut, this help in making the current regime be successful.

The following are the reasons, why it's difficult to answer this question now.
1-     No freedom of speech. This make it very difficult to talk and debate with random people and activist, so you can figure out the public opinion and predict the people behavior or reaction in the short or the long term.
2-     Complete media control, make it difficult to know what is really happening behind the curtains.
3-     Corrupted government, tell lies much more they tell facts.
4-     International relationships with other countries based on mutual benefits not based on respect for people freedom of speech and democracy.


In think, in future what might affect in the political regime in Egypt, not the internal problems as much as the middle east and international problems. The Middle East already in war. Iran in one side with its allies Assad regime of Syria, Hizb El All of Lebanon and Hawthayoun in Yemen with Russia supporting this group. Saudi Arabia on the other side, with USA support. Egypt military leaders swing between both, with no clear policy, or with no policy at all. I think most of the army leaders don't want to get involved in a reginal war, but I assume the president might like to support one side one day or other and get rid of the oppositions in the military council. If that happen, the middle eastern regimes will get exhausted and bankrupted and fail to give the basic needs for their people and this will pave the way for another massive revolution not just in Egypt but in different countries in the middle east. 

Thursday, 10 November 2016

Why Egyptians planning to protest in Nov 11- 2016? ....................................... What make it different from Jan 2015 revolution?



The main idea of this post is to explain the reasons behind Egyptians planning for another protest on November 11, 2016 and the differences between November 2016 and the revolution of January 2011.

Since the Military Coup led by the army general Sisi in June 2013, and Egypt going from bad to worse:
Elected president (Moursy): Arrested and thrown in jail, facing silly and unjust trials since then.
Freedom of speech: Anybody who protested or spoke against the government was arrested, disappeared, thrown in jail, killed in the streets, or if they were lucky they managed to operate under the government radar.
Democracy: Faked unreal elections at all levels. Presidential elections with no real candidate except one to run against general Sisi (Sabahi),who refused in the beginning to participate, shortly after his daughter was arrested to put pressure on him, and released shortly after. No voters showed on that day, even with all media begging them and Judges threatening voter with big penalties if they didn’t vote.
Election result was 97% in favor of Sisi. There are dummy parliament members, their duty is to approve any new rules and regulations made by the government. 

Media: All newspapers and channels not biased towards the government, have been shut down or confiscated, and any reporter or journalist who spoke against the president or his policies was fired or kicked out of the country.
Economy: Egyptian poun value compared to US$ and other foreign currencies lost almost 50% of its value in less than 2 years. No foreign currencies are available to buy essential and imported products, such as food and medicine, this has caused the highest inflation rate in Egyptian history and it has become almost impossible for the majority of the Egyptian people to support their basic life needs. It’s even getting worst, especially after recent decisions to increase the fuel prices, taxes, electricity and water bills.
Administration system: The only qualification needed to be a Prime Minister, Minister or even High Official, is to be loyal to Sisi and his gang of generals. Any other qualifications are not needed at all. Guess what will be the results...Corrupted, idiot,unqualified leaders, leading Egypt into a dark tunnel.
Judicial system: The most corrupt in Egyptian modern history. They appointed the most corrupt judges to take care of the most sensitive cases. Those judges never hesitated to punish political activists including the previous president with death as penalty, even if they were over 500 accused of killing a police officer by accident. This really happened.
Hate and racism: The current regime created hatred between people of different back grounds, Muslims against Christians, Army and Police against individuals, secular against religious, anti-coup against military coup supporters, etc, adopting a divide to conquer strategy.








Comparison between Jan 2011 revolution and Nov 2016 protest or any other protest that might happen in the future.


Jan – 2011
Nov – 2016
Main goal
Getting rid of corrup government, which escalated to the demand for the removal of President (Mubarak)
The removal of the president Sisi and his gang.
Army situation
Was acting as if they are neutral.
Army is biased towards the president, with a few generals against him but they have no power.
Police
Loyal to the president
Loyal to the president
Leaders
No public leaders to help the protesters to be more organized and have a general vision, except the Muslim Brotherhood foundation.
Between 2011 and 2013 freedom of speech paved the way for public leaders to introduce themselves and these leaders are now ready to lead the people in the street and unite them around one goal and steer them to the right path.
Violence
Hardly any violence from the protesters side.
Possible violence against police, army, media figures and corrupted judges as  self-defense and revenge. Hope it will  minimal.
Media
Most of the media were in support of Mubarak, few were neutral or in support of the revolution.
Almost all the media available through satellite channels in Egypt are biased in favor of the president Sisi and his government, but most of the people have figured out their lies already.
Protest Plan
Gathering in main squares.
Protesting in the side streets and avoiding main squares to protect themselves from police and army forces, until protesters crush the police/army resistance.

Conclusion: There’s more potentials in the Nov 11 – 2016 protest to make a better change in Egypt’s political system, if the protesters numbers in the streets are big enough, peaceful and innovative, and if on the other hand, police and army officers and soldiers refuse to obey their commanders, only when that happens can Nov 11 bring a definite and lasting positive change to Egypt’s future. For most of the Egyptians, the evil bias of the police, army, judges, media, and high officials has become very obvious and it would be so difficult for them to manipulate Egyptians again.

What might happen if the protest is crushed by police and army: Egypt’s government losing more of its international credibility, foreign investments decreasing or completely disappear, decreases in tourism, local business men will move their investments outside the country, more dept, less foreign currency available and all the previous will lead to more economic crisis and more anger among the public, and subsequently waves of protests until hopefully the people get rid of this ugly regime, and hopefully the next transition period will be led by Egyptian National leaders, honest and hard workers who can lead and inspire the process of restoring our beautiful country, establishing a better life for all Egyptians and for Egypt as a country gaining the international recognition it deserves.

Read my blog post in Aug 2013 shortly after the military coup, predicting what is happening in Egypt now: http://www.realegypt.info/2013/08/analyzing-big-distorted-and-confusing_18.html


I WOULD HIGHLY APPRECIATE YOUR HONEST COMMENTS. 

Sunday, 1 May 2016

Friday – April 29 – Egypt's protest - Eye witness testimonial.


Few days ago, in April 25, Sinai liberation day many anti coup and anti government decided to protest in Egypt’s squares and streets after Egypt’s government decided to handle the Islands of Tiran and Sanafir to Saudi Arabia, which many considered a possible spark for a second Egyptian revolution. For more info about what happen in this day read the following post: http://www.realegypt.info/2016/04/what-happen-in-april-25-2016-in-egypt.html

I went out in April 25th and all hope that what happen in 2011 might happen again but in a better way. In 2011 the protest started in Jan 25 and being dismissed by using extreme force, but few days after in Fridays 28 was the big day when the protesters took over Tahrir square and many squares in Egypt till Mubarak step down in Feb 11.

Myself I prepared myself in a different way this time.
1-       I left my smart phone behind, so police does not know my bias if they checked my phone as they do now when they force people to show their social media and mail accounts.
2-      I left the Camera behind and used and old phone with a basic camera.
3-      Not carrying anything might make police suspicions in me.
4-      Planned not to go to downtown Cairo as I used to do, since police and army forces are camping already in the main squares waiting for protesters to show to arrest them and closing roads and subway stations to make it difficult for protesters to make it to any square. 

It was difficult to get info online about gathering locations, since the government did their best in the last few years to develop a security system can infiltrate not only to private social media groups and pages but also sensor phone communications and send troops there to occupy any place where a possible gathering might happen.
I went to areas in Giza and Cairo using the subway system where normally small group will gather in a day like that and hoped I will find others, but unfortunately find nothing except police everywhere and others like me looking arounds and hope like I hope.

I went back home this day, disappointed but with intentions to analyze what happen in this day, and here’s the result.

Reasons prevented from a protest happen in Friday – April 29
1-       The police developed a good skills of monitoring social media and phone communications.
2-      Media control, to band any news to cover any protests.
3-      Big number of police and army troops occupying the possible protest locations.
4-      In April 25th, the police arrested a hundreds, among them the leaders who call for protest.
5-       Tens of thousands of other activists arrested since the military coup happen in 2013 and still in jail tell now.


How we can overcome these challenges in the future
1-       Creating a new tool to help anti-government activist to communicate without being censored by the government.
2-      Calling for a fake protests using a fake social media accounts to confuse and exhaust the police forces.
3-      Speaking with close friends, family members and my guest about the consequences of Egypt’s to be run with this regime.
4-      Spreading the news about the government setbacks to create a public awareness against the government especially in the matter of freedom of speech.
5-       Get ready and wait for another spark.



In the near future, I will more tools to secure my accounts, data and clouds, since I’m not quite sure I can still be lucky especially if my words spread more.