Monday, 10 April 2017

Coptic Christians of Egypt trapped in political conflicts. Historical Reasons and Solutions.




  
Palm Sunday – April 9th Two terrorists attach in churches in the Delta(Tanta) and Alexandria, and the death of 44 mostly Christians and over a hundred injured.  
This is not the first one and I don't think it will be the last under the existing regime.
In this post, I will explain the reasons as I see behind these and similar attacks in history timeline
1-   The roots of this problem go back to Mubarak period, when he, his corrupted media and government spread fear from the Muslim brotherhood and other Islamic organization among the Church and Christian community (more than 10% of Egypt's population). his reason was to create a lobby to support him, his successor (Jamal – his son) and his government in any election against the strong opposition led by the Muslim Brotherhood. He launched a campaign to associate the Muslim Brotherhood with violence to destroy their reputation locally and internationally by creating fake tides between them and other well-known terrorists organizations such as El Qaeda.
2-   After 2011 revolution, and during the transition period ruled by the Army Council. Many incidents where churches and Monasteries being attacked believed to be the work of the secret policy and the army intelligent to create a Christian bias against the revolution and the Muslim Brotherhood as the most effective party in Egypt's revolution. The army council hope was, the fear of the Christians will shift their votes to the army council presidential candidate against the other candidates including the Muslim Brotherhood one.
3-   After president Morsi won the election as the 1st president in Egypt's modern history came to power in a real democratic process. Churches being attacked again and black media aligned with the army blaming the Islamic government to make sure the Christians are still in their support.   
4-   As a result of the previous strategies, when the military coup happens, the head of the Egyptian Coptic church (Patriarch) officially supported the coup against the elected president and some churches encouraged their communities and offered logistics and free rides in buses to the protest sites in support of the military coup.
Note: The head of El Azhar Islamic foundation also officially supported the military coup, but you need to know this foundation is confiscated by the Egyptian government from presented Nasser time in 1960th and this position is appointed by the government and choose the leader of the foundation to serve the government political interests, while the head of the Coptic church is elected by the Coptic Churches.
5-   Following the military coup, a massacres happened during the disparce of protests sites at Aug 14 – 2013 in Cairo and other cities in Egypt, mass killing and arrest for peaceful protesters, against the military coup. Leaving 670 death and 4400 injuries in only one protest site in Cairo, which described by Human Rights Watch organization as a crime against humanity. With a complete silence from the Judging System and the corrupted media.
6-   After dismantling the Muslim brotherhood party and killing or arresting all their leaders, leaving their young members without leadership, full of anger and hate from what they lost and experience. This situation made it easy for terrorists organizations such as ISIS to attract new members to believe in their radical views and use them to operate attacks against all the parities involved in the massacres and the support of the military coup, among them:
Army – Police – Judges – Media – Churches – Leader of the El Azhar Islamic foundation.
From July 2013 till Oct 2015 alone over 900 attacks

7-   The Egyptian church kept supporting the existing government and encourage gathering in support of Sisi during oversees meetings and visits especially in USA through the Coptic individuals and Churches live and active in the US.
8-   As a result, for all the above factors, oppositions in Egypt blamed the Coptic Christians and the church for their support for the existing government and the terrorists organization among the oppositions did not hesitated to launch attach against Coptic Churches.

Conclusions:
The Egyptian Coptic church through Egypt's modern history always referred to themselves as they want to keep the Coptic Church away from politics. Unfortunately, what they did since 2013 when they officially supported the military coup, was contradicting with their policies and put them in this wrong position and became a target for terrorist's organization.

Solutions:
In the short term. The Egyptian Coptic church should make an official statement acknowledging their mistake when they involved in Politics and supported the military coup, and promising the Coptic Christian community and the Egyptian population they will stay away from politics and be natural from now on. Myself I dought that might happen.

In the long term.
1-   New government outside the army, come as a people choice in free election understand the challenges Egypt's has and come with new idea out of the box and a new strategy encouraging the freedom of speech, equality, social justice as tools to put an end for Egypt's problem in the long term.
2-   Arab middle Easter countries cooperation, politically and military to put an end for the war going in the Middle East and putting and end for ISIS. Which I dought that might happen before having new government in the middle east replacing the existing corrupted government.
How the last thing might happen, its complicated and worth another blog post.

Finally, I do believe in the Christian in Egypt are victims not only of the terrorist's organizations but also a victim of a government and church leaders get them involved in politics.


Feel free to comment and edit to help me improving my views and my English language. 


Tuesday, 4 April 2017

What might happen in Egypt politically in the short and long run? A question difficult to answer for the following reasons






From 2011 to 2013, it was easy to predict what might happen in Egypt, since this period was known for the freedom of speech, that made it easy for me in Aug 2013 to predict what might happen in the country in the following years, I was in the street, protesting, supporting, media assist and debating with others with different view in real world and virtual world and that enabled me to predict and foresee what might happen in Egypt's future which is happening now. Check my Aug 2013 post at the following link: http://www.realegypt.info/2013/08/analyzing-big-distorted-and-confusing_18.html
Since the military coup in 2013 and until now, I hardly participated at any protest (hardly any big protest happens) and became very conservative in posting and debating in social media, otherwise I will end behind bars with no trail. Even by writing this post and putting it online, I'm putting my live-in danger, but I feel if I kept my mouse shut, this help in making the current regime be successful.

The following are the reasons, why it's difficult to answer this question now.
1-     No freedom of speech. This make it very difficult to talk and debate with random people and activist, so you can figure out the public opinion and predict the people behavior or reaction in the short or the long term.
2-     Complete media control, make it difficult to know what is really happening behind the curtains.
3-     Corrupted government, tell lies much more they tell facts.
4-     International relationships with other countries based on mutual benefits not based on respect for people freedom of speech and democracy.


In think, in future what might affect in the political regime in Egypt, not the internal problems as much as the middle east and international problems. The Middle East already in war. Iran in one side with its allies Assad regime of Syria, Hizb El All of Lebanon and Hawthayoun in Yemen with Russia supporting this group. Saudi Arabia on the other side, with USA support. Egypt military leaders swing between both, with no clear policy, or with no policy at all. I think most of the army leaders don't want to get involved in a reginal war, but I assume the president might like to support one side one day or other and get rid of the oppositions in the military council. If that happen, the middle eastern regimes will get exhausted and bankrupted and fail to give the basic needs for their people and this will pave the way for another massive revolution not just in Egypt but in different countries in the middle east. 

Thursday, 10 November 2016

Why Egyptians planning to protest in Nov 11- 2016? ....................................... What make it different from Jan 2015 revolution?



The main idea of this post is to explain the reasons behind Egyptians planning for another protest on November 11, 2016 and the differences between November 2016 and the revolution of January 2011.

Since the Military Coup led by the army general Sisi in June 2013, and Egypt going from bad to worse:
Elected president (Moursy): Arrested and thrown in jail, facing silly and unjust trials since then.
Freedom of speech: Anybody who protested or spoke against the government was arrested, disappeared, thrown in jail, killed in the streets, or if they were lucky they managed to operate under the government radar.
Democracy: Faked unreal elections at all levels. Presidential elections with no real candidate except one to run against general Sisi (Sabahi),who refused in the beginning to participate, shortly after his daughter was arrested to put pressure on him, and released shortly after. No voters showed on that day, even with all media begging them and Judges threatening voter with big penalties if they didn’t vote.
Election result was 97% in favor of Sisi. There are dummy parliament members, their duty is to approve any new rules and regulations made by the government. 

Media: All newspapers and channels not biased towards the government, have been shut down or confiscated, and any reporter or journalist who spoke against the president or his policies was fired or kicked out of the country.
Economy: Egyptian poun value compared to US$ and other foreign currencies lost almost 50% of its value in less than 2 years. No foreign currencies are available to buy essential and imported products, such as food and medicine, this has caused the highest inflation rate in Egyptian history and it has become almost impossible for the majority of the Egyptian people to support their basic life needs. It’s even getting worst, especially after recent decisions to increase the fuel prices, taxes, electricity and water bills.
Administration system: The only qualification needed to be a Prime Minister, Minister or even High Official, is to be loyal to Sisi and his gang of generals. Any other qualifications are not needed at all. Guess what will be the results...Corrupted, idiot,unqualified leaders, leading Egypt into a dark tunnel.
Judicial system: The most corrupt in Egyptian modern history. They appointed the most corrupt judges to take care of the most sensitive cases. Those judges never hesitated to punish political activists including the previous president with death as penalty, even if they were over 500 accused of killing a police officer by accident. This really happened.
Hate and racism: The current regime created hatred between people of different back grounds, Muslims against Christians, Army and Police against individuals, secular against religious, anti-coup against military coup supporters, etc, adopting a divide to conquer strategy.








Comparison between Jan 2011 revolution and Nov 2016 protest or any other protest that might happen in the future.


Jan – 2011
Nov – 2016
Main goal
Getting rid of corrup government, which escalated to the demand for the removal of President (Mubarak)
The removal of the president Sisi and his gang.
Army situation
Was acting as if they are neutral.
Army is biased towards the president, with a few generals against him but they have no power.
Police
Loyal to the president
Loyal to the president
Leaders
No public leaders to help the protesters to be more organized and have a general vision, except the Muslim Brotherhood foundation.
Between 2011 and 2013 freedom of speech paved the way for public leaders to introduce themselves and these leaders are now ready to lead the people in the street and unite them around one goal and steer them to the right path.
Violence
Hardly any violence from the protesters side.
Possible violence against police, army, media figures and corrupted judges as  self-defense and revenge. Hope it will  minimal.
Media
Most of the media were in support of Mubarak, few were neutral or in support of the revolution.
Almost all the media available through satellite channels in Egypt are biased in favor of the president Sisi and his government, but most of the people have figured out their lies already.
Protest Plan
Gathering in main squares.
Protesting in the side streets and avoiding main squares to protect themselves from police and army forces, until protesters crush the police/army resistance.

Conclusion: There’s more potentials in the Nov 11 – 2016 protest to make a better change in Egypt’s political system, if the protesters numbers in the streets are big enough, peaceful and innovative, and if on the other hand, police and army officers and soldiers refuse to obey their commanders, only when that happens can Nov 11 bring a definite and lasting positive change to Egypt’s future. For most of the Egyptians, the evil bias of the police, army, judges, media, and high officials has become very obvious and it would be so difficult for them to manipulate Egyptians again.

What might happen if the protest is crushed by police and army: Egypt’s government losing more of its international credibility, foreign investments decreasing or completely disappear, decreases in tourism, local business men will move their investments outside the country, more dept, less foreign currency available and all the previous will lead to more economic crisis and more anger among the public, and subsequently waves of protests until hopefully the people get rid of this ugly regime, and hopefully the next transition period will be led by Egyptian National leaders, honest and hard workers who can lead and inspire the process of restoring our beautiful country, establishing a better life for all Egyptians and for Egypt as a country gaining the international recognition it deserves.

Read my blog post in Aug 2013 shortly after the military coup, predicting what is happening in Egypt now: http://www.realegypt.info/2013/08/analyzing-big-distorted-and-confusing_18.html


I WOULD HIGHLY APPRECIATE YOUR HONEST COMMENTS. 

Sunday, 1 May 2016

Friday – April 29 – Egypt's protest - Eye witness testimonial.


Few days ago, in April 25, Sinai liberation day many anti coup and anti government decided to protest in Egypt’s squares and streets after Egypt’s government decided to handle the Islands of Tiran and Sanafir to Saudi Arabia, which many considered a possible spark for a second Egyptian revolution. For more info about what happen in this day read the following post: http://www.realegypt.info/2016/04/what-happen-in-april-25-2016-in-egypt.html

I went out in April 25th and all hope that what happen in 2011 might happen again but in a better way. In 2011 the protest started in Jan 25 and being dismissed by using extreme force, but few days after in Fridays 28 was the big day when the protesters took over Tahrir square and many squares in Egypt till Mubarak step down in Feb 11.

Myself I prepared myself in a different way this time.
1-       I left my smart phone behind, so police does not know my bias if they checked my phone as they do now when they force people to show their social media and mail accounts.
2-      I left the Camera behind and used and old phone with a basic camera.
3-      Not carrying anything might make police suspicions in me.
4-      Planned not to go to downtown Cairo as I used to do, since police and army forces are camping already in the main squares waiting for protesters to show to arrest them and closing roads and subway stations to make it difficult for protesters to make it to any square. 

It was difficult to get info online about gathering locations, since the government did their best in the last few years to develop a security system can infiltrate not only to private social media groups and pages but also sensor phone communications and send troops there to occupy any place where a possible gathering might happen.
I went to areas in Giza and Cairo using the subway system where normally small group will gather in a day like that and hoped I will find others, but unfortunately find nothing except police everywhere and others like me looking arounds and hope like I hope.

I went back home this day, disappointed but with intentions to analyze what happen in this day, and here’s the result.

Reasons prevented from a protest happen in Friday – April 29
1-       The police developed a good skills of monitoring social media and phone communications.
2-      Media control, to band any news to cover any protests.
3-      Big number of police and army troops occupying the possible protest locations.
4-      In April 25th, the police arrested a hundreds, among them the leaders who call for protest.
5-       Tens of thousands of other activists arrested since the military coup happen in 2013 and still in jail tell now.


How we can overcome these challenges in the future
1-       Creating a new tool to help anti-government activist to communicate without being censored by the government.
2-      Calling for a fake protests using a fake social media accounts to confuse and exhaust the police forces.
3-      Speaking with close friends, family members and my guest about the consequences of Egypt’s to be run with this regime.
4-      Spreading the news about the government setbacks to create a public awareness against the government especially in the matter of freedom of speech.
5-       Get ready and wait for another spark.



In the near future, I will more tools to secure my accounts, data and clouds, since I’m not quite sure I can still be lucky especially if my words spread more. 

Tuesday, 26 April 2016

What happen in April 25 – 2016 in Egypt – Eye Witness?



The Reasons: Corrupted president and government came to power with a military coup, not legitimate, has no tolerance for a freedom of speech and caused for more than 40000 Egyptians to disappear in the last 2 years with thousands of peaceful protectors killed and no body found guilty.
The Spark: handling 2 Egyptian Islands in the Red Sea (selling) to Saudi Arabia as a price to fix a collapsed economy. Read my previous post for more info.

Cairo Streets - Downtown.
Huge number of police, almost half of them dressed regular cloths. Streets leading to the famous squares including Tahrir Square being blocked by police including the sub way station to stop protectors from reaching down town.
Exceptions being made for supporters of Sesi regime, to gather in some squares under the protection of the police. Humble numbers, very humble people, paid or influenced to support the regime and Sesi  (their photos attached).  I felt sorry for them, the corrupted regime stole their wealth, brain washed them, taught them nothing except ignorance, killed their dreams, sold their land and now paying them to sell their soul and body as a prostitute doing to make living.
News about a protectors in the same corner in Talat Harb St when I joined the protests for the protest for the 1st time in Jan 26 – 2011. Smell of tear gas irritates my eyes when I walk close to this point. The interesting thing is I felt so happy the more I smiled the tear gas, since this reminds me with the good old days when we stood against Mubarak and his regime. Seems to be I get addicted to the smell J
Get disappointed when I made it to the spot, police everywhere, seems to me I was late. The big surprise was, the protesters against the corrupted regime has been replaced by supporter for Sesi.
Spend about 5 hours in the streets and decided to go back home since the only gathering (few) are for those who support Sesi  as if they are happy for him selling the Islands.
Following the news when I made it back home, there’s many protest against the government happen but not in downtown, in many other squares in Cairo, and other Egyptian cites.
Next time, I should be more smart and not to go to the places where police except protesters.

Planning to join the protest this Friday. I know its danger, but I can’t tolerate growing up in my country and only complaining about how bad the government is, without being positive and protest to change the situation and help Egypt’s get to positions it deserves.
My main influence, a  the word of my great teacher and philosopher. Those who struggle to improve their and the other people life and stand in support of the freedom of speech, should have no worries if they died in the process, because they will enjoy peace in the heaven.

Don’t worry, I always do my best to protect myself and stay alive, but this should not stop me from doing the right thing. If I sold my dream for safety and security, nothing will get better in this world.

More photos in the following link: https://www.facebook.com/RealEgyptSamir/posts/1080354768691382?pnref=story




Wednesday, 20 April 2016

Brussle and other similar attacks from a Muslim protective lives in the Middle East. Reasons and solutions.




Brussle attack is against humanity not against western civilization and not justified in Islam.


REASONS
1-      Dictatorships in Arab/Muslims regimes, tailoring religious teaching and curriculums in schools, mosques and media to serve only their interests, shifting the Muslims attentions away from many of the great qualities in Islam especially those which encourages freedom of speech and democracy, by doing that they created a huge gab in religious  teaching to be filled by extremer’s.
2-      Double standards and neglect  in dealing with Middle Eastern serious political problems by the international community,  the most important among these problems is Palestinian Israeli problem, including building illegal settlements, walls, sieges, attaching civilians, destroying Palestinians infrastructures, confiscating territories, and تصعيب  entering Jerusalem for Muslims.
3-      Terrible economic situation. The Arab/Islamic territories divided between extremely rich countries based on Oil wealth and countries with high level of poverty.
4-      Education. The Arab/Muslim countries contribution to the world knowledge now is almost nothing which reflects the terrible education system, based on memorizations not questioning and researching, and that creates sets of minds can be easily convinced with wrong ideas.
5-      Media in the Muslims/Arab territories, made by government or established by foundations loyal to the government aimed to distract the people attentions from the main problems and get them busy with minor issues. 
6-      Religious intolerance in some of the western countries against Muslims, which creates hate and anger within the Muslims communities living in western societies which encourages radicalizations.
7-      Western allies interfering in Middle East policies with wrong intentions  to create instability serving their political, economic and religious  interests using terms such as war on terror and promoting for democracy, instead they created conflicts, instability and wars considers a perfect media for radical ideas to grow and radical militant to train.
8-      The downfall of the Arab Spring, especially in Egypt, led to army generals came back into power with zero tolerance for democracy and freedom of speech and unfortunately that happen with the support of Oil regimes in the middle east which not surprising me, but what surprised me most, is the support giving by western countries famous for their democratic values and had no problems to support a bloody military coup in Egypt politically and financially, as long as this new regime will serve their interests in the Middle East. For more info about this topic, read my previous blog titiled
USA Parliament debating whether to change or keep their democratic values !!!! Based on Egypt's crises. http://www.realegypt.info/2013/11/usa-parliament-debating-whether-to.html

9-      The instability in Iraq, the civil war in Syria which creates a terrorists controlled by radicals.
10-   Arms dealers. Hardly any weapons are manufactured in the middle east and it seems that its not a difficult for dictatorships and radicals in the middle east to get what they want, easy and on a good price to use it for fighting each other’s.



SOLUTIONS
1-      International community and united nation free of bias.
2-      The industrial western countries, back off supporting dictatorships in the middle east such as Saudi Arabia and the military coup in Egypt, and gradually these regimes will be replaced by others who can promote for democracy.
3-      Enforcing Israel to respect and apply all the UN rules and decisions regarding the Palestinians Israelis territories.
4-      Encouraging an introducing a true Muslims scholars who can introduce the true Islamic believe which promote for peace, freedom of speech, democracy, equality, coexistence , and bridging the gaps between people of different backgrounds. Other words, use a peaceful ideas to fight against an evil ones, guns never put an end for ideas.
Read in the following link: ISLAM VIEW ABOUT TORREISOM SUPPORTED BY VERSES FROM THE MUSLIMS HOLY BOOK: http://www.juancole.com/2013/04/islamic-forbids-terrorism.html
5-      Naming terrorists with their names and not using the word Islam as a religion promoting for violence and intolerance, which makes people who knows about Islam only from these terrorists attacks bios against Muslims in general even if they are their own nabers and creates a needs for supporting wrong political decisions or choosing bios leader creates more problems rather than working on solving it.



Highly appreciate your constructive comments and discussions